The tariffs will increase on imports of steel and aluminum by 25 percent and 10 percent, respectively. They are designed to improve production in the U.S., but many critics expect the economy to suffer and for steel and aluminum prices to rise or at least become volatile. With many building systems reliant on these materials (roofing, HVAC equipment, vertical transportation, etc.), facilities managers hoping to make changes could face serious challenges.
Broader Economic Implications
Many forecasts for the new tariffs paint a bleak portrait for the U.S. economy. The tariffs are expected to create volatility in global trade and hurt job creation despite its intentions.
The Trade Partnership, a consulting firm focused on issues of trade policy and international markets, released a report (PDF) suggesting that the wide-reaching implications of these tariffs are expected to cause more harm than good to the overall economic health of the U.S. The steel and aluminum production industries consider these actions a victory.
More than five jobs would be lost overall for every one gained, notes the report. In addition, more than 36,000 job losses are expected in other manufacturing sectors and would cancel out the job gains in the aluminum and steel producing sectors.
Furthermore, there is considerable doubt from economists that the U.S. will be able to produce enough steel and aluminum to keep prices down, which will hurt consumers, especially those working on construction projects. The expected overall economic ramifications, increases in steel and aluminum prices, and a smaller workforce in manufacturing could make retrofit projects for facilities managers much more difficult to budget.
Industry Opposition to the Tariffs
With these expected outcomes, the buildings industry is on shakier ground. Industry experts are voicing their opposition, citing increased costs for vital components to building systems.
“These metal products are some of the largest material inputs in the construction of buildings. Structural metal beams, window frames, mechanical systems and exterior cladding are largely derived from these important metals,” state American Institute of Architects (AIA) President Carl Elefante, FAIA, and Executive Vice President/Chief Executive Officer Robert Ivy, FAIA. “As creative problem solvers, architects rely on a variety of these materials to achieve functional and performance goals for their clients. Inflating the cost of materials will limit the range of options they can use while adhering to budgetary constraints for a building.”
Because of the importance of steel and aluminum to contemporary buildings, finding cost-effective solutions that have the same structural integrity will be far more difficult. Moreover, these design challenges will directly affect contracting work for construction projects.
"Firms that are already engaged in fixed-price contracts may be forced to absorb these costs, forcing them to cut back on new investments in equipment and personnel,” says Stephen E. Sandherr, CEO of the Associated General Contractors of America. “Higher steel and aluminum prices will make the kind of infrastructure work President Trump supports more expensive, forcing federal, state and local officials to cut back on projects they can fund. And the likely trade war these new tariffs prompt will diminish demand for private investment in infrastructure as well as construction demand for manufacturing, shipping and distribution facilities.”
The exact impacts of these tariffs will be felt over time for facilities managers, especially as Canada and Mexico are exempted for the time being and Trump has mentioned the possibility of excluding additional allies later. However, it’s hard to know what to expect.